Local Development GP Details

Description:

Forecasting of local development indicators of different sectors.

Names:

1-Abdoul-Rahman Mahmoud Darweesh 20060538
2-Aliaa Yehia Mahmoud Rassem 20060263
3-Yasmine Mohamed Mahmoud El-Sehrawy 20060492

Steps Taken:

1-First we have training (Aliaa & AbdoulRahman) in Local Development Ministry on Decentralization Project and found that the system doesn't have forecasting.
2-Meeting with Eng.Mohamed Esmaiel a consultant in Local development Ministry and ask as to build forecasting for Ministry to help them on decision making.
3-Meeting with Dr.Mohamed Saleh and he advised to get historical data and apply a simple forecasting Method on it as a begining step.
4-We get a book called Egypt's Description by inforamtion 2007 and 2009 having data about all sectors in the ministry but we will start by only the health sector.
5-Getting historical data about Health Sector and trying to extract trend ,seasonal component and applying Holt Linear Method.